Musi wa23 Kurume, ngarava hombe yemidziyo "Changci" yaishandiswa neTaiwan Evergreen Shipping, payaipfuura nemuSuez Canal, yaifungidzirwa kuti yakatsauka kubva pamugero ndokumhara pasi nekuda kwemhepo ine simba.Na 4:30 am pane 29th, nguva yeko, nekuedza kweboka rekununura, mutakuri we "Long Give" wakavhara Suez Canal akadzoka, uye injini ikozvino yakagadziriswa!Zvinonzi mutakuri wekutakura “Changci” atwasanudzwa.Nzvimbo mbiri dzekutumira dzakataura kuti mutakuri wekutakura akanga atangazve "nzira yake yakajairika."Zvinonzi boka rekununura rakabudirira kununura "Long Give" muSuez Canal, asi nguva yekuti Suez Canal itangezve kufamba haisati yazivikanwa.
Seimwe yematanho akakosha ekufambisa pasirese, kuvharika kweSuez Canal kwawedzera kushushikana kutsva kune yatove yakasimba pasi rose ngarava ngarava.Hapana angadai akafungidzira kuti kutengeserana kwepasirese mumazuva achangopfuura kwakamiswa murwizi rwakafara mamita mazana maviri?Pakarepo izvi zvaitika, taifanira kufunga zvakare nezvekuchengetedza uye kusagadziriswa nyaya dzemazuva ano dzeSino-European trade channel kuti tipe "backup" yekufambisa kweSuez Canal.
1. Chiitiko che "kusangana kwechikepe", "mapapiro ebutterfly" akazunungusa hupfumi hwenyika
Lars Jensen, CEO weDanish “Maritime Intelligence” kambani yekubvunzana, akataura kuti ngarava dzinotakura zvinhu makumi matatu dzinorema dzinopfuura nemuSuez Canal zuva rega rega, uye rimwe zuva rekuvharika zvinoreva kuti midziyo makumi mashanu neshanu inononoka kutakura.Zvinoenderana nekuverenga kubva kuLloyd's List, mutengo weawa wekuvharika kweSuez Canal ungangoita US$400 miriyoni.Kambani yeinishuwarenzi yekuGermany yeAllianz Group inofungidzira kuti kuvharika kweSuez Canal kunogona kuita kutengeserana pasi rose pakati peUS$6 bhiriyoni neUS$10 bhiriyoni pasvondo.
JPMorgan Chase Strategist Marko Kolanovic akanyora mumushumo neChina: "Kunyangwe isu tichitenda uye tichitarisira kuti mamiriro acho achagadziriswa munguva pfupi, pachine njodzi.Muzviitiko zvakanyanyisa, canal ichavharwa kwenguva yakareba.Izvi zvinogona kukonzera kukanganisa kwakanyanya mukutengeserana kwepasi rose, kukwira kwemitengo yekutakura, kuwedzera kuwedzera kwezvinhu zvemagetsi, uye kukwira kwemitengo yepasirese.Panguva imwecheteyo, kunonoka kwekutakura kuchaitawo nhamba huru yezvichemo zveinishuwarenzi, izvo zvinozoisa kumanikidza kune masangano emari anoita inishuwarenzi yegungwa, kana kukonzeresa Reinsurance uye mamwe minda ari mhirizhonga.
Nekuda kwehupamhi hwekutsamira pachiteshi chengarava cheSuez Canal, musika weEurope wakanzwa zvakajeka kusagadzikana kwakakonzerwa neyakavharika zvinhu, uye maindasitiri ezvitoro nekugadzira "asina mupunga muhari."Sekureva kwesangano reChina reXinhua News Agency, mutengesi mukuru wemidziyo yemumba pasi rose, IKEA yekuSweden, akatsinhira kuti midziyo yekambani iyi inosvika zana negumi yakatakurwa pa“Changci”.Mutengesi wemagetsi wekuBritain, Dixons Mobile Company uye mutengesi wemidziyo yemumba yeDutch Brocker Company akatsinhirawo kuti kuendesa zvinhu kwakanonoka nekuda kwekuvharika kwegeji.
Izvo zvakafanana zvinoenda pakugadzira.Sangano renyika dzepasi rose reMoody's rakaongorora kuti nekuti indasitiri yekugadzira yeEurope, kunyanya vatengesi vezvikamu zvemotokari, yanga ichitsvaga "in-time inventory management" kuti iwedzere kushanda zvakanaka kwemari uye haizounganidze huwandu hwakawanda hwezvigadzirwa.Muchiitiko ichi, kana Logistics yavharwa, kugadzirwa kunogona kukanganiswa.
Iyo blockage iri kukanganisawo kuyerera kwepasi rose kweLNG.US “Market Watch” yakataura kuti mutengo weliquefied natural gas wakwira zvine mwero nekuda kwekusangana.Zvikamu zvisere kubva muzana zvegasi rakanyungudutswa pasi rose rinotakurwa nemuSuez Canal.Qatar, iyo yakakura kwazvo pasi rose ine liquefied gasi rinopa, rine zvigadzirwa zvegasi rechisikigo zvinotakurwa kuenda kuEurope kuburikidza nemugero.Kana kufamba kukanonoka, matani angangoita miriyoni imwe yegasi rakanyungudutswa rinogona kunonoka kuenda kuEurope.
Pamusoro pezvo, vamwe vari mumusika vanotyira kuti mitengo yemafuta emafuta epasi rose nezvimwe zvinhu ichakwira zvakanyanya nekuda kwekuvharika kweSuez Canal.Mumazuva achangopfuura, mitengo yemafuta epasi rose yakakwira zvakanyanya.Mitengo yeramangwana remafuta asina kuchena yakaunzwa muna Chivabvu paNew York Mercantile Exchange neLondon Brent crude oil remangwana yakaunzwa muna Chivabvu yadarika madhora makumi matanhatu padhiramu.Nekudaro, vemukati meindasitiri vakati musika uri kushushikana kuti manzwiro ezvekutengesa awedzera, izvo zvakonzera kuti mitengo yemafuta ikwire.Nekudaro, mukupindura kutenderera kutsva kwedenda, kusimbaradza kudzivirira uye kudzora matanho kuchiri kudzikamisa kudiwa kwemafuta asina kuchena.Pamusoro pezvo, nzira dzekufambisa dzenyika dzinogadzira oiri dzakaita seUnited States hadzina kukanganiswa.Nekuda kweizvozvo, nzvimbo yekumusoro yemitengo yemafuta epasi rose ishoma.
2. Wedzera dambudziko rekuti "mudziyo unonetsa kuwana"
Kubva chikamu chechipiri chegore rapfuura, kudiwa kwekutakura kwepasi rose kwakawedzera zvakanyanya, uye zviteshi zvakawanda zvakasangana nematambudziko akadai sekuomerwa kwekutsvaga mudziyo uye mitengo yakakwira yemakungwa.Vatori vemusika vanotenda kuti kana kuvharika kweSuez Canal kuchienderera mberi, nhamba huru yezvikepe zvinotakura zvinhu hazvigone kutendeuka, izvo zvichawedzera mutengo wekutengeserana kwenyika uye kukonzera ketani kuita.
Zvinoenderana nedata rakaburitswa neGeneral Administration of Customs yeChina mazuva mashoma apfuura, kutengeswa kweChina mumwedzi miviri yekutanga yegore rino kwakawedzera zvakanyanya neinopfuura 50%.Senzira inonyanya kukosha yekufambisa mune zvepasi rose zvinhu, zvinopfuura 90% yekutakura uye kutumira kunze kwekutakura zvinhu kunopedzwa negungwa.Nokudaro, kutengesa kunze kwenyika kwakawana "kutanga kwakanaka", zvinoreva kudiwa kukuru kwekukwanisa kutumira.
Sekureva kweRussia Satellite News Agency ichangotora mashoko eBloomberg News, mutengo we40-foot container kubva kuChina kuenda kuEurope wakwira kusvika pamadhora zviuru zvisere (8,000 US dollars (inenge RMB 52,328) nekuda kwemutyairi akabatikana, uyo anopeta katatu kupfuura. gore rapfuura.
Sampmax Kuvaka inofanotaura kuti kukwidziridzwa kwazvino kumitengo yezvinhu neSuez Canal kunonyanya kukonzerwa nemusika tarisiro yekukwira kwemitengo yekufambisa uye tarisiro yekukwira kwemitengo.Kuvharika kweSuez Canal kuchawedzera kuwedzera kuomesera kwemidziyo yemidziyo.Nekuda kwekuwedzera kwekudiwa kwepasirese kwengarava dzinotakura zvinhu dzakatakura midziyo, kunyangwe vatakuri vazhinji vatanga kutadza kudiwa.Nekudzoreredza kwepasi rose kudzoreredza kwakatarisana nemabhodhoro, izvi zvinogona kutsanangurwa se "kuwedzera huni kumoto."Pamusoro pemidziyo yakatakura nhamba huru yezvinhu zvevatengi "zvakanamira" muSuez Canal, midziyo mizhinji isina chinhu yakavharwa ipapo.Kana cheni yepasi rose ichida kupora nekukurumidza, nhamba huru yemidziyo yakachengetwa muEurope neAmerica zviteshi, izvo zvinogona kuwedzera kushomeka kwemidziyo uye panguva imwe chete ichiunza matambudziko makuru pakukwanisa kwekutakura.
3. Mazano edu
Parizvino, Sampmax Construction's nzira yekutarisana neyakaoma-ku-kuwana kesi ndeyekukurudzira vatengi kuti vatengese zvakawanda, uye sarudza 40-foot NOR kana bulk cargo transportation, iyo inogona kuderedza zvakanyanya mutengo, asi nzira iyi inoda kuti vatengi vatengese zvakawanda.