Isexwayiso!I-"Stagflation" ekuhwebeni kwamazwe ngamazwe ingase ihlasele
No.1┃ Izintengo zezinto ezingavuthiwe ezihlanyayo
Kusukela ngo-2021, izimpahla "zikhuphukile".Ngekota yokuqala, isamba sezimpahla eziyi-189 sikhuphuke futhi sehla ohlwini lwamanani ezimpahla.Phakathi kwazo, izimpahla ezingama-79 zenyuke ngamaphesenti angaphezu kuka-20, eziyi-11 zenyuka ngamaphesenti angaphezu kuka-50, kanti ezingu-2 zenyuka ngamaphesenti angaphezu kuka-100, okuhlanganisa amandla, amakhemikhali, izinsimbi ezingenayo insimbi, insimbi, irabha namapulasitiki kanye nemikhiqizo yezolimo kanye ezinye izinkambu.
Ukwenyuka kwezintengo zempahla kwakhuphula ngokuqondile intengo yokuthengwa kwempahla yomkhiqizo.NgoMashi, inkomba yentengo yokuthenga yezinto ezinkulu zokusetshenziswa isondele ku-67%, ebingaphezulu kuka-60.0% izinyanga ezine zilandelana futhi yafinyelela eminyakeni emine ephezulu.Amapulangwe okwakha nawo anyuke cishe ngo-15% kuya ku-20%, okubonakala ngengcindezi yezindleko.
Ngokumelene nesizinda sobhubhane olusha lomqhele, ezomnotho ezinkulu zomhlaba zisebenzisa izinqubomgomo zokunciphisa imali ngezinga elikhulu.Kusukela ekupheleni kukaFebhuwari 2021, imali ebanzi ye-M2 yamabhange amakhulu amathathu e-United States, eYurophu nase-Japan yeqa ama-US$47 trillion.Kulo nyaka, i-United States yethule iphakethe lokuvuselela i-US$1.9 trillion kanye nohlelo lwengqalasizinda olukhulu olungaphezu kwe-US$1 trillion.Kusukela ngoMashi 1, imali engu-M2 e-United States ifinyelele ku-US$19.7 trillion, okuwukukhula konyaka ngo-27%.Ukungeniswa okuqhubekayo kwezimali ezimakethe kunyusa amanani entengo yempahla eyinqwaba, futhi ubhubhane lwehlise ukukhiqizwa komhlaba wonke, kanti ezinye izimpahla ziyashoda, okukhuphule amanani entengo.
Umfanekiso 1: Imali engu-M2 yamabhange amakhulu amathathu omhlaba
Umfanekiso 2: Imali ye-US M2
No.2┃Isidingo semboni yezokwakha noma ukwehla okuphezulu
Ibhekene nokukhuphuka kwamanani ezinto zokusetshenziswa, iSampmax Construction kwadingeka inyuse amanani "emakethe".Kodwa ukuzwela okwedlulele kwabathengi baphesheya ekwenyukeni kwamanani kubeka izinkampani enkingeni.Ngakolunye uhlangothi, ngeke kube nemingcele yenzuzo uma kungekho ukukhuphuka kwentengo.Ngakolunye uhlangothi, bakhathazekile ngokulahleka kwama-oda ngemuva kokukhuphuka kwentengo.
Ngokombono omkhulu, inqubomgomo yezimali exegayo inzima kakhulu ukuvusa isidingo esisha, kodwa ingase iholele ekwehleni kwamandla emali kanye nokwenyuka kwezikweletu ngokwedlulele.Umdlalo wokuhwebelana kwamazwe ngamazwe ubekwe phezulu ekubuyiseni kancane kancane umthamo wokukhiqiza phesheya kwezilwandle, futhi umphumela wokushintsha uyancipha, okwenza kube nzima ngesidingo saphesheya ukugcina amazinga aphezulu.
No.3┃Izinkathazo ezifihliwe "ze-stagflation" ekuhwebeni kwamazwe ngamazwe
Ukwehla kwamandla emali kuvame ukusetshenziselwa ukuchaza ukuhlalisana kokuntengantenga komnotho kanye nokwehla kwamandla emali.Uma kuqhathaniswa lokhu nohwebo lwamazwe ngamazwe, izinkampani zohwebo lwangaphandle ziphoqeleka ukuba "zibandakanye" ngokungathandi lapho intengo yezinto ezingavuthiwe nezinye izindleko zikhuphuke kakhulu, kuyilapho isidingo sangaphandle singanyukanga kakhulu noma sehlile.
Umqedazwe waleli khulu leminyaka ubangele igebe elikhulayo phakathi kwabacebile nabampofu emhlabeni wonke, inani lezigaba zabantu abahola kancane liye lenyuka, usayizi wesigaba esiphakathi sehlile, futhi umkhuba wokwehla kwezidingo uyabonakala.Lokhu kulethe izinguquko ohlelweni lwemakethe yokuthekelisa, okungukuthi, imakethe emaphakathi iwile futhi imakethe esezingeni eliphansi ikhuphukile.
Ukungqubuzana phakathi kwe-inflation ye-supply side kanye ne-demand-side deflation kucindezele ukuthunyelwa kwempahla kwamanye amazwe.Ngokwehliswa kokusetshenziswa kwamanye amazwe, imakethe yemakethe izwela kakhulu emananini wokuthekelisa.Izindleko ezikhuphuka kakhulu zokuthunyelwa kwempahla kwamanye amazwe ezimbonini eziningi kunzima ukuzidlulisela kubathengi nabathengi bakwamanye amazwe ngokukhuphula amanani okuthengisa kwamanye amazwe.
Ngamanye amazwi, inani lokuhweba lilonke lisakhuphuka, kodwa izibalo ezikhulayo azilethanga inzuzo ethe xaxa emabhizinisini ethu, futhi azikwazanga ukwakha isidingo esiqhubekayo sokugcina."I-Stagflation" iza ngokuthula.
No.4┃ Izinselele kanye Nezimpendulo Ekuthathweni Kwezinqumo Zohwebo
I-Stagflation ayisilethi nje kuphela ukuncipha kwenzuzo, kodwa nezinselele kanye nezingozi ezinqumweni zohwebo.
Ukuze kukhiyelwe izintengo, abathengi abaningi baphesheya kwezilwandle bavame ukusayina izivumelwano zesikhathi eside nathi noma bafake ama-oda amaningi nama-oda amakhulu ngesikhathi esisodwa.Lapho sibhekene "nezambane elishisayo", iSampmax Construction isenkingeni futhi: ikhathazekile ngokushoda kwamathuba ebhizinisi, futhi yesaba ukuthi intengo yezinto zokusetshenziswa izoqhubeka nokukhuphuka ngemuva kokuthola i-oda, okuzoholela ekuhlulekeni. ukwenza noma ukulahlekelwa yimali, ikakhulukazi kumakhasimende anama-oda amancane.Izinto zokusetshenziswa zethimba lethu zikhuphuka nomfula.Amandla okuxoxisana alinganiselwe.
Ngaphezu kwalokho, ngokusekelwe ezintengo zamanje ngokuvamile zisezingeni eliphezulu kakhulu, i-Sampmax Construction isilungele ukubhekana nokuguquguquka kwentengo.Ikakhulukazi emakethe enokuguquguquka kwentengo okunodlame, sizolawula ngokuqinile izimo zokuqoqwa.Ngesikhathi esifanayo, kunconywa ukuthi amakhasimende abe nezidingo ze-oda ukuze enze izinqumo ezisheshayo.
Ngenxa yokuthi amakhasimende akwa-Sampmax ahlola i-inventory kanye nokuthengisa ngesikhathi ngesikhathi esikhethekile, kunconywa ukuthi abathengi bethu basilandele eduze isimo sokukhokha, bahambisane nomqondo wokuphepha, benze ngokucophelela inani elikhulu kanye nesikhathi eside. -ibhizinisi lesikhathi, futhi uqaphele kakhulu kubathengi abakhulu , Ingozi ephakathi.Sizophinde sixoxe nawe ngohlelo lokubambisana lwesikhathi eside.